Turkey Trot Predict

This is a prediction run with a staggered start format.

When you register, you predict your finish time for the 5K course. The clock is set to the slowest predicted finish time of all the runners and is set to count down. You start running when the clock reaches your prediction time.

With this format, the slower runners start first, followed by the middle of the pack runners, and finally the fast runners. If everyone predicts their time perfectly, they will finish at the same time.

Of course, that never happens, as some runners are overly optimistic with their prediction, while others are overly conservative. Once the last runner starts, i.e., the one with the fastest predicted time, the clock is covered.

Thus runners cannot see the time on the clock when they are approaching the finish line, and therefore, don't know if they should speed up or slow down before the finish line. This creates a very unique racing strategy. If you find yourself alone along the course in the latter portions of the race, it means your prediction was way off. If you find yourself amongst a mass of runners finishing close to one another at the finish, it means you've predicted well.

Course Information
Flat course on pavement and cement sidewalks. Elevation is about 6,100 feet. It is somewhat of a figure 8 course, with one of the loops around the criterium bike course, and the other loop around Prospect Lake. Runners complete two loops around Prospect Lake.

Click Here For Course Map

Click Here For Registration Information